This term refers to an unpredictable incident with severe consequences, which is impossible to foresee.
During the in-depth conversation on the Tucker Carlson Show, Paul reflected on the current geopolitical tensions. He noted that he had anticipated the potential for conflict in areas like Ukraine as early as 2014, well before it was recognized by the mainstream media.
Paul, who is known for his steadfast principles and prescient insights into economic and foreign policy, used the opportunity to voice his concerns about unexpected, significant events that could take the world by surprise.
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"I think we're reaching this point where some sudden thing is going to happen. I believe in that theory of the black swan. Yes, it's going to pop up, and it's not going to be controllable," Paul stated.
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He emphasized the importance of education in understanding and preparing for these challenges. To this end, he highlighted his homeschooling program, which is designed to teach these principles from an early age.
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"But people you ask, what can they do? I think the most important thing is understanding what's going on, which is education. That's why I happen to have a homeschooling program. And I try to teach this stuff early because you can't change it. You can't just demand, for example, $50 an hour. That's not how it works… You have to know what actions to take. One is to protect your money. Another is to protect your wealth," Paul elaborated.
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The former Congressman further explained that beyond accumulating resources and wealth, it is essential to have a deep understanding of the underlying causes that lead to societal and economic changes.
"It's very, very dangerous," he warned, advocating for a more decentralized approach to governance where states act more independently.
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In a similar vein, CBS News' senior investigative correspondent, Catherine Herridge, made a grim prediction for 2024 during the year-end CBS News correspondents roundtable. She referred to a potential 'Black Swan event' – a national security crisis with unpredictable high impact.
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Margaret Brennan, who was moderating the discussion, asked Herridge about her prediction.
"Well, mine's a little dark," Herridge began. "I just feel a lot of concern that 2024 may be the year of a black swan event. This is a national security event with high impact that's very hard to predict."
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She listed several factors contributing to her prediction. "There are a number of concerns- concerns, I have that factor into that. Not only this sort of enduring, heightened threat level that we're facing, the wars in Israel, also Ukraine."
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Herridge highlighted the internal divisions within the United States, which she believes could create opportunities for adversaries like North Korea, China, and Iran.
"And we're so divided in this country in ways that we haven't seen before. And I think that just creates fertile ground for our adversaries like North Korea, China and Iran. And that's what concerns me most," she added.
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Responding to Herridge's comments, Brennan acknowledged the widespread anxiety such predictions could cause. "A lot of people are up at night with that concern, Catherine. At least in this town," Brennan said, underlining the seriousness of Herridge's warning.
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