Bad Polling? Latest 2024 Questionnaire Makes Little Sense

By Mark Gruber | Saturday, 30 July 2022 12:00 PM
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Former Vice President Mike Pence and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis are statistically tied in a new survey as contenders for the 2024 GOP nomination should Donald Trump not run, according to a new survey issued Thursday by NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ.

Just over 23% of respondents announced they would back DeSantis, compared with 20.5% who said the same for Pence, should Trump not run.

Yet a majority of respondents (57%) further announced Trump should not seek another White House bid, compared with only roughly 35% who stated he should.

None of the three have declared intentions to run, though political consultant Dick Morris has explained to Newsmax repeatedly that Trump is "clearly running" in 2024.

"He [Trump] and I spoke two days ago, and he's clearly running," Morris, the host of Newsmax's show "Dick Morris Democracy" and author of the bestselling "The Return: Trump's Big 2024 Comeback," announced on Newsmax's "Wake Up America," saying that Trump can't officially announce yet because then the expenses of his rallies would come from his campaign budget and "he's not about to do that."

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The NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ poll further discovered that over 60% of all voters announced that President Joe Biden shouldn’t run for reelection and 16.1% stated they would prefer Vice President Kamala Harris to run for president in 2024 if Biden chose not to run, followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 10.7%.

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More than 60% of all voters announced that Biden shouldn’t run for president. Among the Democrats polled, 30% stated he should sit out 2024.

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Similarly, roughly 57% of total voters stated Trump should not run for president. Twenty-six percent of polled Republicans want someone else as the nominee. As of Wednesday, Trump had not officially declared his candidacy.

“Part of it, honestly, I think has to do with the bitterness and enmity of that election,” The Hill White House columnist Niall Stanage stated. “I would suspect that there are a lot of voters, particularly in the middle ground or the more moderate voters in each party, who just don’t want that whole process re-litigated because it was such a divisive election.”

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The next most popular choices among Democratic and Republican candidates were Vice President Kamala Harris (16%) and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (23%), respectively.

It’s too early, though, to tell how the election might play out, Decision Desk HQ Senior Data Scientist Kiel Williams announced. It’s further possible that four months out from the midterm election, many potential candidates simply haven’t become household names yet, Williams announced.

“I think what a lot of that reflects is just a lack of name recognition among most voters,” Williams stated.

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