The debate over the package has been packed with drama during the summer and fall, with progressive and centrists battling over the measure's features, pushing an ambiguous intraparty fight into the national spotlight.
Those battles will advance to the Senate, which is unlikely to take action on the measure before December. Centrist Sens. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) — whose claims have helped cut the once $3.5 trillion package in half — have yet to officially back the measure, and more changes are reasonable.
All the same, Democrats feel they are on the brink of a massive breakthrough in the House, where passage would be a big victory for the party.
House moderate holdouts have vowed to support the bill when it comes to the floor this week, even as they continue to wait for new numbers from the Congressional Budget Office to see if the package will add to the deficit.
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Biden on Monday will sign into law the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill, a favorite of the centrists, which will make it simpler for moderates to swallow the huge tax-and-spending plan. Many, including Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), will be at the president's side for the ceremony.
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Despite the prospect of new drama in the Senate, senior Democrats say they are certain Congress can pass the stimulus to Biden's desk by the end of the year.
"I think we'll get it passed before Christmas," one senior Democrat, Rep. G.K. Butterfield (N.C.), former chairman of the Congressional Black Caucus, told The Hill.
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The debate arrives at a fraught moment for Biden and the majority Democrats. They are under fire for a host of disturbing economic trends, including a spike in inflation, a private-sector labor shortage, and a supply chain bottleneck that's hindered retail markets. However, at the same time, the COVID-19 crisis proceeds to frustrate federal efforts to keep it in check.
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The combination has produced the outcomes on the president: A recent poll conducted by USA Today and Suffolk University found that just 38 percent of voters support sssssBiden's show.
The Democrats' troubles were reflected in state elections across the country earlier in the month when Republicans exceeded even their most optimistic forecasts. That was true particularly in Virginia, where GOP businessman Glenn Youngkin — winning President Trump's 2020 numbers in every county — upset former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) in a state Biden had won by 10 points just a year earlier.
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McAuliffe's loss brought a new round of internal calls for Democrats to update their messaging strategies heading into a difficult 2022 midterm cycle when House GOP leaders are projecting they will change dozens of seats and win back the majority.
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