“If the presidential election were held today, and the following were the candidates, for whom would you vote?” the survey asked respondents, who were given the following options: “Donald Trump, the Republican,” “Joe Biden, the Democrat,” “Other,” “Not sure,” and “Prefer not to answer.”
Only 46 percent of those who voted in November of 2020 announced that Biden would be their favored candidate today, five full points less than his official 51.3 percent total share in the 2020 presidential election.
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The poll further showed that 49 percent of women would vote for Biden today, down from 57 percent in November of 2020.
Maybe most interesting, Biden further lost support from “moderates,” falling from 56 percent to 47 percent. And among those earning between $50,000 to $75,000 who have presumably been hit most by Biden’s inflation, Biden has lost ten points (54 percent to 44 percent).
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Biden further declined among Democrats, as 88 percent say they would vote for him now with 93 percent indicating they voted for him in November.
Among those with some college education, Biden’s support sank eight points from 52 percent to 44 percent. Of those with at least a bachelor’s degree, Biden further lost 5 points (55 percent to 50 percent).
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The president's flagging numbers come in the wake of Biden's much-denounced handling of the intense U.S. departure from Afghanistan. And it further comes amid a surge in COVID cases this summer among mainly unvaccinated people due to the spread of the extremely infectious delta variant, as the country struggles to fight the coronavirus, the worst pandemic to strike the globe in a century.
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While overwhelming approval of Biden by Democrats and overwhelming rejection by Republicans has continued steady this summer, the survey points to a big drop in approval by independents.
"Independents have shown the greatest variation in their opinions of how Biden is doing. Biden's current 37% approval rating among independents is his lowest to date and 24 points below his personal high of 61%. Two-thirds of Biden's slide among independents since he took office has occurred in the past three months," Gallup highlighted in a release.
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While the president’s overall approval rating of 43% is higher than Trump’s 37% approval in Gallup polling in September of 2017 – at a similar point in his presidency – Biden trails behind his other most recent forerunners.
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President Barack Obama sat at 52% in Gallup polling in September of 2009, and Bill Clinton registered 47% support at this point in 1993. George W. Bush sat at 52% approval, according to Gallup at the start of September 2001, though his numbers shot up to 90% later that month, in the wake of the horrific 9/11 terrorist attacks.
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