Forget What Fauci Says, Actual Facts On Ground Are Proving Him Wrong On This Key Issue

Written By BlabberBuzz | Sunday, 07 March 2021 04:30 PM
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Forget What Fauci Says, Actual Facts On Ground Are Proving Him Wrong On This Key Issue

The pace of Covid-19 vaccine administration in the US continues to improve, each day bringing the country closer to herd immunity -- the point at which enough people are protected against a disease that it cannot spread.

A CNN analysis suggests herd immunity against the coronavirus could be reached in the United States by the end of summer through vaccines alone and potentially even sooner when natural immunity is added in.

Vaccines are currently being distributed at a pace of about 2 million doses a day, reports the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, resulting in 70% of the population seemingly becoming fully vaccinated by the end of July, with 85% having their full vaccinations by mid-September, when the Johnson & Johnson vaccine is factored in.

At this point, the thresholds for herd immunity, which describes the point when enough people are protected against a disease so that it cannot further spread, are just estimates. However, health experts agree that herd immunity happens when between 70% and 85% of a population is protected, a figure with which Dr. Anthony Fauci, chief medical adviser to President Joe Biden, agrees.

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Meanwhile, Biden announced this week that the United States will have enough vaccines required in order to protect all adults in the country by the end of May.

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Even if the two-dose vaccines from Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna were the only shots available, 70% of the US population could still be fully vaccinated by mid-September. But with the Food and Drug Administration recently approving Johnson & Johnson's one-dose vaccine for emergency use, those numbers rapidly grew to immunizing 70% of the country by July, two months sooner than with the first vaccines alone.

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As the CDC estimates that a quarter of the United States may have already been infected by COVID-19, herd immunity could be reached between the combination of shots and natural immunity as early as June.

However, there are new variants that could lessen the protection brought through vaccines, and with there being some people hesitant to get their shots, the figures on herd immunity could change, experts at CNN points out.

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CNN also reports of the hazards posed by Spring break, which starts for hundreds of universities this month. And typical spring break revelry could lead to countless more Americans getting infected as coronavirus variants threaten to outpace vaccinations.

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"It's the perfect storm," Dr. Peter Hotez, dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine.

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"You've got the B.1.1.7 variant accelerating in Florida. You've got all these 20-year-old kids. None of them are going to have masks. They're all going to be drinking. They're having pretty close, intimate contact. And then, after that's all done, they're going to go back to their home states and spread the B.1.1.7 variant."

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Some universities -- like Ohio State and State University of New York -- have canceled spring break to try to minimize new infections.

And the director of the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recently had a blunt message for all Americans: "Don't travel," Dr. Rochelle Walensky said. "We really, really would advocate for not traveling right now."

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