In the movie, Khan, despite his superior abilities, repeatedly fails to defeat Captain Kirk, a character representing the average man. This analogy seems fitting in light of a recent Morning Consult/Bloomberg poll that indicates a significant decline in support for President Biden in key swing states.
While early polls are often seen as mere snapshots in time, this particular survey paints a rather bleak picture for the incumbent President. The poll results reveal that Biden trails Trump by 10 points in North Carolina and 8 points in Nevada. His only hope appears to lie in Pennsylvania and Michigan, where he is within striking distance.
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Biden's approval ratings are also far from impressive, with more people expressing a very unfavorable opinion of him than those who view him very or somewhat favorably. Vice President Harris's numbers mirror Biden's, further compounding the Democrats' woes.
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While Biden could potentially outperform a universally despised figure like Jeffrey Dahmer in an election, Trump's approval ratings, despite not being universally loved, are higher. The same number of people strongly disapprove of both candidates, suggesting that if voter enthusiasm is a factor, Biden could be at a disadvantage.
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Biden's economic policies, collectively referred to as "Bidenomics," are not resonating with the electorate. The administration's assurances of a thriving economy are failing to convince voters, who are increasingly disillusioned with the current economic climate.
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In an attempt to shift the narrative, Biden may focus on abortion, an issue that 75% of voters consider very or somewhat important. It's one of the few areas where he holds an advantage over Trump. However, it's unclear how many voters consider this their primary issue.
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When it comes to the economy and immigration, the two most important issues for voters, Biden's performance is underwhelming. His handling of the border crisis, in particular, is proving detrimental to his standing among swing state voters.
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Despite outspending Trump 5-1 in these states, Biden's efforts seem to be in vain. His campaign's investment appears to be more focused on building an infrastructure for voter targeting and vote harvesting, rather than swaying public opinion.
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Biden's victory in the 2020 election was a narrow one, and his popularity has only waned since then. Trump's numbers, on the other hand, have improved. This suggests that the Democrats' strategy of ballot harvesting, which proved successful in 2020, may not be enough this time around.
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