A new Suffolk University/USA Today poll shook up the midterms after 44% of voters announced that if the election were held today, they would vote for a Democrat candidate, while 40% announced they would vote for a Republican. Roughly 16% still remain undecided.
Republicans have taken a hit over the past month after a June survey from the university discovered Democrats and Republicans were evenly split on the generic congressional ballot with both parties getting 40% of the vote.
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While the economy is still most important to voters in the upcoming election — with 20% stating it is the most important matter — the survey revealed that many think abortion trumps inflation as the most important issue this election cycle. Almost 16% of voters announced abortion is the leading issue, with about 11% saying inflation, despite it hitting a 40-year high of 9.1% in June.
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The poll results come after the Supreme Court choice in June to overturn Roe v. Wade, giving the power to place limitations on abortion back to the states.
The economy ranked as the most important matter that will affect the vote in the upcoming election, getting 20% of the overall vote. Due to the rising costs of consumer goods, 58% announced that because of the recent spike in prices they are going to eat out less often.
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The second quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) dropped to an annual rate of 0.9%, the Commerce Department announced Thursday, marking the second negative decline in economic growth in the April-June quarter.
Most economists define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, which is what Thursday's data revealed has happened to the U.S. economy.
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While Democrats currently have the advantage over Republicans, President Biden'splummeting approval rating, increasing inflation and a rocky economy could hurt Democrats in the midterms.
The poll revealed that just 39% strongly or somewhat approve of the job President Biden is doing.
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Former President Donald Trump has played a big part in this year's midterm election, hand-picking candidates to endorse nearly weekly. The poll revealed that roughly 44% are less probable to vote for a candidate that is backed by the former president.
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Among the voters, roughly 76% believe that the nation is on the wrong track, a figure that is up 5% since June.
The Suffolk University survey was conducted July 22-24, 2022, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
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