In a poll from the Glengariff Group, Trump led DeSantis 45% to 42% in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup, with 12% uncertain.
The former president’s vulnerability in a primary against DeSantis in Michigan, a key battleground state, is evident among college-educated Republicans and Republicans who back the GOP first and Trump second.
Among college-educated Republicans, DeSantis led Trump 51% to 37%; among party-first Republicans, the Florida governor led the former president 53% to 33%.
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Keeping Trump in the game are his advantages among Republican voters without a college degree and GOP voters who back the former president first and the party second.
Among the former, Trump led DeSantis 55% to 29%; among the latter, he topped Florida’s governor 71% to 24%. This July 13–15 survey, surveying 500 probable Republican primary voters and conducted for The Detroit News, had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
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“That support, that dominance [Trump has] had on the Republican side, is beginning to wane some,” Glengariff Group pollster Richard Czuba stated, although he continued: “It’s easy to think: ‘Oh, [Trump is] going to race.’ But there will not likely be a one-on-one race for the nomination.”
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Several Republicans besides Trump are mulling a 2024 campaign, with many signaling that the 45th president running would not keep them on the sidelines.
In 2016, Trump regularly won GOP presidential primaries with only a third of the overall vote, while the several other Republican contenders in that race divvied up the rest.
Should the former president mount a third White House bid, some Republican operatives say he might overcome opposition to his candidacy similarly.
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Meanwhile, A Fox News segment has gone viral on Twitter for revealing multiple backers of Donald Trump discussing why they're moving away from supporting the former president in 2024—and endorsing Ron DeSantis instead.
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The Republican voters praise Trump for his time in the White House yet declare that the GOP needs "new blood" in the next presidential election. Many of the former Trump supporters argued that Florida Governor DeSantis would be a better option.
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"In case anyone had any doubt that Fox is dumping Trump for DeSantis, they just ran this piece where they interviewed 'random' Trump voters to see if they wanted him to run in 2024, and who they would like to see instead of," Twitter user Ron Filipkowski wrote as a caption to the video, which has been viewed more than 270,000 times.
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