The survey, conducted online from June 20-22 of 400 people probable to vote in the primary, put Zeldin, R-N.Y., ahead of Giuliani by 34.5% to 28%, wrote John Zogby, senior partner at John Zogby Strategies, for Forbes.
Zeldin and Giuliani came out far ahead of their closest rival, former Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, a Republican gubernatorial candidate in 2016, who earned 16% in this current survey. Astorino was followed closely by investor Harry Wilson, at 14%. Only 8% of the voters replied that they are not certain who will get their votes.
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The survey held a margin-of-sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, with the error margins higher in subgroups, according to Zogby.
Zeldin, according to Zogby, leads in key segments for a GOP win in the primary, including:
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• | Upstate New York voters (32% to Giuliani's 24%, with Wilson at 21%) |
• | Home region of New York City’s suburbs (42% to Giuliani's 32%) |
• | All age groups over 30, including men (38% to 29% for Giuliani; women (31% to 27%); and conservatives (37% to 29%). |
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In the meantime, the survey displayed incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holding a strong lead among Democrats, gathering 55% of the voters compared to 22% for U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi and 19% for New York City’s public advocate Jumaane Williams. Hochul is further far ahead of Suozzi and Williams in every subgroup.
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The governor is likewise entering the general election with high job approval and personal favorable ratings, with her job approval at 55% to 40% who disapprove and her personal favorable rate at 54% to 40%.
Zeldin, in the meantime, came out with a 33% favorable rate and 33% unfavorable, with 25% of those polled stating they are not familiar enough with him to decide.
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Giuliani, Zogby announced, benefitted from the famous name of his father, the former New York City mayor, and Trump attorney, Rudy Giuliani, with only 15% stating they were not familiar enough with him, announced Zogby.
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He garnered a 30% favorable rating, compared to 50% unfavorable.
Astorino came out with a 30%-24%-34% rating and Wilson had a 31% to 19% rating, with 38% stating they were not familiar enough with him.
Zeldin's odds are growing as the election nears, announced Zogby, even with Wilson hitting him with a heavy negative advertising blitz. The congressman's lead went from a 10 point deficit in May to his current 6.5-point lead, jumping from 2 points Tuesday to 4 points on Wednesday and by 6.5 points when the Zogby poll closed.