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This decrease is particularly striking as it contrasts with a slight rise in overall undergraduate enrollment, which has largely rebounded from the dips experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic.
As reported by The Post Millennial, the current decrease in first-year enrollment is in stark contrast to the increase observed last year. Furthermore, enrollment among high school graduates has also seen a decline, dropping by over 6 percent. Doug Shapiro, Executive Director of the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center, expressed his surprise at these findings, especially since this is the first decline since the pandemic began in 2020, when freshman enrollment took a nearly 10 percent nosedive. "It is startling to see such a substantial drop in freshmen, the first decline since the start of the pandemic in 2020 when they plunged nearly 10%," Shapiro stated.
Shapiro further noted that the overall growth in undergraduate enrollment is primarily driven by continuing or returning students, particularly at community colleges. This, he said, is "at least some good news" for both students and educational institutions.
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The New York Post suggests that part of this decline could be attributed to the delays and complications experienced during the rollout of the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) last year. "This really reconfirms the strong connection between FAFSA completion and enrollment," said Bill De Baun, senior director of the National College Attainment Network.
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This decline could also be indicative of a broader crisis in public confidence in higher education. A Gallup poll released earlier this year revealed that a mere 36 percent of adults expressed significant confidence in higher education, marking a staggering 57 percent drop in less than a decade. This trend underscores the urgent need for a comprehensive review and reform of the higher education system.