The survey, conducted online from June 20-22 of 400 people probable to vote in the primary, put Zeldin, R-N.Y., ahead of Giuliani by 34.5% to 28%, wrote John Zogby, senior partner at John Zogby Strategies, for Forbes.
Zeldin and Giuliani came out far ahead of their closest rival, former Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino, a Republican gubernatorial candidate in 2016, who earned 16% in this current survey. Astorino was followed closely by investor Harry Wilson, at 14%. Only 8% of the voters replied that they are not certain who will get their votes.
The survey held a margin-of-sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points, with the error margins higher in subgroups, according to Zogby.
Zeldin, according to Zogby, leads in key segments for a GOP win in the primary, including:
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| • | Upstate New York voters (32% to Giuliani's 24%, with Wilson at 21%) |
| • | Home region of New York City’s suburbs (42% to Giuliani's 32%) |
| • | All age groups over 30, including men (38% to 29% for Giuliani; women (31% to 27%); and conservatives (37% to 29%). |
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In the meantime, the survey displayed incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul holding a strong lead among Democrats, gathering 55% of the voters compared to 22% for U.S. Rep. Tom Suozzi and 19% for New York City’s public advocate Jumaane Williams. Hochul is further far ahead of Suozzi and Williams in every subgroup.
The governor is likewise entering the general election with high job approval and personal favorable ratings, with her job approval at 55% to 40% who disapprove and her personal favorable rate at 54% to 40%.
Zeldin, in the meantime, came out with a 33% favorable rate and 33% unfavorable, with 25% of those polled stating they are not familiar enough with him to decide.
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Giuliani, Zogby announced, benefitted from the famous name of his father, the former New York City mayor, and Trump attorney, Rudy Giuliani, with only 15% stating they were not familiar enough with him, announced Zogby.
He garnered a 30% favorable rating, compared to 50% unfavorable.
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Astorino came out with a 30%-24%-34% rating and Wilson had a 31% to 19% rating, with 38% stating they were not familiar enough with him.
Zeldin's odds are growing as the election nears, announced Zogby, even with Wilson hitting him with a heavy negative advertising blitz. The congressman's lead went from a 10 point deficit in May to his current 6.5-point lead, jumping from 2 points Tuesday to 4 points on Wednesday and by 6.5 points when the Zogby poll closed.
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