Optimism Or Certainty? McCarthy Predicts House & Senate Will Flip As New Poll Shows Surprising Statistic

By Pamela Glass | Saturday, 28 May 2022 20:30
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House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) forecasts Republicans will come out with a majority after the midterm elections this fall, as a new report suggests more races favoring Republicans.

The GOP could gain as many as 20-35 seats in the House of Representatives, with 10 races overturning Republicans in the Cook Political Report’s revised projections.

“Look, I predict we are going to win the majority,” McCarthy said Thursday on Fox Business. “I believe we can raise — win more than enough seats to win the majority.”

However, the question, McCarthy said, remains how many seats Republicans can turn as they bid to ride a red wave to the majority. Based on the latest projections, Republicans could be nearly on par with Democrats’ 2018 election victories, when they won back the majority and gained 41 seats. To flip the House in their favor, Republicans only need a net gain of five seats.

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New forecasts show Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District changing from a toss-up to leaning Republican. Currently, Democratic Rep. Susan Wild holds the seat.

Several factors have played into a grim outlook for Democrats in 2022, including redistricting. Republicans are expected to pick up three to four seats from reapportionment alone.

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“The string of legal setbacks the Democrats have suffered since late February has been staggering,” Dave Wasserman, a national elections analyst for the Cook Political Report, told the Washington Examiner. “When you put it all together, just about everything’s going right for Republicans.”

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McCarthy is well placed to be voted House speaker by his peers if there is a red wave in November.

Democrats started 2022 gloating about key triumphs in redistricting scrums across the country. However, their mood is becoming dismal as the line-drawing battles end with bleak House race prospects heading into the midterm elections.

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The party has seen some of its earliest victories fade away during recent weeks as Republicans raked in stunning court wins and are now poised to pick up three to four seats from apportionment alone. This is key for House Republicans’ quest to win a majority in November, which requires a net gain of at least five seats.

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“The string of legal setbacks the Democrats have suffered since late February has been staggering,” Dave Wasserman, a national elections analyst for the Cook Political Report, told the Washington Examiner. “When you put it all together, just about everything’s going right for Republicans.”

Last week, New York’s Supreme Court obliterated the Democrats’ crown jewel of redistricting officials. It imposed a map that set several key House Democrats on a collision course with one another and ceded Republicans an opportunity to gain seats in the deep-blue state.

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