Seventy-one percent of GOP respondents said they don’t think that Biden was rightfully elected to the White House, quoting former President Trump’s claim that he was the actual winner of last year's election.
Twenty-five percent of Republicans said Biden's win was “probably not legitimate,” while 46 percent said it was “definitely not legitimate,” according to the poll.
Only 6 percent of Republicans said that Biden triumphed, while another 15 percent said he “probably” is.
Most Americans — 58 percent — believe that Biden’s election was legitimate. That contains 91 percent of Democrats and 54 percent of Independents.
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The poll marks the extent to which false claims about the 2020 election by Trump and other prominent Republicans have become rooted in the minds of many GOP voters, said Tatishe Nteta, an associate professor of political science at UMass Amherst and the poll’s director.
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“Given the continued questioning of Biden’s victory by prominent Republican elected officials, conservative media personalities and former President Trump, it is no surprise that 7 in 10 Republicans, conservatives and Trump voters view the results of the 2020 election with skepticism, if not outright disbelief,” Nteta said.
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The poll also revealed that a massive majority of Republicans — 80 percent — see the Jan. 6 attack at the Capitol as a “protest.” Among all respondents, 55 percent described the events as a “riot.” What’s more, about a quarter of Republicans described those who participated in the events of Jan. 6 as “patriots,” while a similar number said the perpetrators were “Antifa.”
The UMass Amherst poll was conducted by YouGov from Dec. 14-20 and is based on responses from 1,000 people nationwide. It has a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.
YouGov questioned 1036 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 1,000 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was built by stratified sampling from the full 2019 American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file).
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The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic reversal was accounted for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and region. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles.
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